Anyway this is a very interesting story that talks a bit about internal Kerry campaign polling. They claim Bush is at 48% in only one battleground state, and 45-46% in most others.
I know most of this is spin, so take it for what it's worth. If all this is true however, things look good for Kerry on election day.
North Carolina Bush 54, Kerry 44
Burr 50, Bowles 44
Easley 57, Ballantine 39
South Carolina DeMint 52, Tenenbaum 39
Kerry looks to be in good shape in Florida, and Castor looks to be a slight favorite to win the Senate seat, unfortunately things may be slipping away in the Carolinas.
Also
CO Senate Coors 50, Salazar 46
OK Senate Coburn 47, Carson 41
Not too good in regards to the Senate races.
But the Iowa and Mich numbers are in stark contrast to the Mason-Dixon numbers released today. In fact according to Survey USA Kerry has widened his lead in Iowa, he lead only 48-47 in the last poll. Obviously either MD or SUSA is wrong, I tend to believe SUSA's numbers as they are more in line with other recent polling, but we won't know for sure until election day.
Bush 46 Kerry 45
Bush 46 Kerry 43, Nader 3
Just out on Zogby's website
Alaska 57% 30% 5% 3% 5% 9-11
California 41% 52% - 1% 6% 11-13
Colorado 46% 45% 3% 1% 6% 10-13
Hawaii 41% 51% 4% 0% 4% 7-11
Idaho 59% 30% 3% 1% 7% 8-10
Kentucky 57% 39% 1% 0% 4% 8-12
Maine 44% 48% 4% 0% 5% 8-10
Maryland 43% 52% 2% 0% 3% 7-9
Massachusetts 27% 64% - 1% 7% 10-13
Minnesota 45% 47% 2% 1% 5% 10-12
Montana 60% 32% 3% 0% 5% 7-9
Nebraska 61% 30% 2% 1% 6% 9-12
North Dakota 62% 33% 1% 0% 4% 7-10
Oregon 45% 47% 2% 1% 5% 10-13
Rhode Island 30% 58% 4% 1% 6% 11-13
South Dakota 58% 39% 1% 1% 2% 8-12
Utah 64% 27% 4% 1% 5% 10-13
Vermont 40% 50% 4% 0% 7% 9-12
Washington 44% 51% 2% 0% 3% 9-13
Wyoming 65% 29% 2% 0% 3% 9-11
600 completed telephone interviews among likely voters
in each state on dates in September (Sep),
MOE ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time
Sorry about the lousy formatting, the first number is Bush, the second is Kerry. Most of the results are as expected, Colorado is surprisingly close. These numbers lead me to believe that we have about a tied race nationally, Bush would be doing much better if he really had a 8-10 point lead nationwide.
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